Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas San Antonio
Conference USA
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#257
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#241
Pace67.4#194
Improvement+2.5#65

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#320
First Shot-9.1#340
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#20
Layup/Dunks-3.2#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#344
Freethrows-0.3#193
Improvement+2.5#50

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#146
First Shot+0.9#139
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#194
Layups/Dunks+1.2#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#198
Freethrows-0.4#193
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 98   @ Fresno St. L 66-69 12%     0 - 1 +4.1 -2.3 +6.3
  Nov 13, 2016 236   @ Oregon St. L 64-72 37%     0 - 2 -10.1 -7.5 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2016 247   @ Illinois-Chicago L 78-86 39%     0 - 3 -10.6 -4.3 -5.3
  Nov 19, 2016 321   Prairie View W 69-59 77%     1 - 3 -3.3 -13.6 +9.8
  Nov 22, 2016 233   @ Lamar L 58-78 37%     1 - 4 -22.0 -14.1 -9.0
  Nov 25, 2016 174   Texas St. W 63-48 40%     2 - 4 +12.1 -1.0 +15.2
  Dec 01, 2016 301   @ Cal Poly L 47-59 53%     2 - 5 -18.4 -29.1 +10.4
  Dec 03, 2016 190   @ Utah Valley L 71-75 26%     2 - 6 -2.8 -2.1 -0.5
  Dec 07, 2016 45   @ Texas Tech L 50-87 5%     2 - 7 -23.2 -15.0 -9.9
  Dec 18, 2016 207   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-73 31%     2 - 8 -4.4 +3.7 -8.5
  Dec 21, 2016 190   Utah Valley W 66-60 44%     3 - 8 +2.1 -9.1 +10.9
  Jan 01, 2017 195   UTEP W 67-55 45%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +7.8 +1.1 +8.0
  Jan 05, 2017 316   @ Southern Miss L 59-77 59%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -25.8 -11.8 -14.8
  Jan 07, 2017 101   @ Louisiana Tech W 69-68 13%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +7.8 +3.5 +4.4
  Jan 12, 2017 271   Florida Atlantic W 68-63 64%     6 - 9 3 - 1 -4.2 +1.5 -5.0
  Jan 14, 2017 276   Florida International W 57-55 65%     7 - 9 4 - 1 -7.4 -17.6 +10.3
  Jan 21, 2017 195   @ UTEP L 39-59 27%     7 - 10 4 - 2 -19.1 -27.4 +6.0
  Jan 26, 2017 155   @ Marshall L 71-92 21%     7 - 11 4 - 3 -18.0 -14.8 +0.0
  Jan 28, 2017 229   @ Western Kentucky L 66-81 36%     7 - 12 4 - 4 -16.7 -4.9 -12.7
  Feb 02, 2017 56   Middle Tennessee L 59-69 12%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -2.9 -2.2 -2.1
  Feb 04, 2017 193   UAB W 82-67 45%     8 - 13 5 - 5 +10.8 +12.9 -1.0
  Feb 09, 2017 316   Southern Miss W 57-51 76%     9 - 13 6 - 5 -6.9 -11.1 +5.1
  Feb 11, 2017 101   Louisiana Tech L 66-72 24%     9 - 14 6 - 6 -4.3 -0.6 -4.2
  Feb 16, 2017 158   @ Rice L 68-80 21%     9 - 15 6 - 7 -9.0 -6.9 -1.8
  Feb 18, 2017 315   @ North Texas L 73-83 59%     9 - 16 6 - 8 -17.8 -6.0 -11.3
  Feb 23, 2017 276   @ Florida International W 69-67 45%     10 - 16 7 - 8 -2.4 +3.5 -5.5
  Feb 25, 2017 271   @ Florida Atlantic L 66-73 45%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -11.2 -10.4 -0.6
  Mar 02, 2017 237   Charlotte L 75-76 57%     10 - 18 7 - 10 -8.2 +3.1 -11.4
  Mar 04, 2017 131   Old Dominion W 73-55 32%     11 - 18 8 - 10 +17.2 +12.0 +7.2
  Mar 08, 2017 229   Western Kentucky W 56-52 45%     12 - 18 -0.3 -10.3 +10.7
  Mar 09, 2017 56   Middle Tennessee L 70-86 9%     12 - 19 -6.4 +12.6 -21.4
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%